Category Archives: International Relations

The State of the Union

What a masterful speech by Obama. His delivery, as normal, was eloquent and well-timed, but it was the content of his speech and the enthusiasm with which he delivered his fifth SOTU address that was so positive and encouraging.

He had a wonderful defense of the ACA, pointing out the guest who recently signed up for affordable care and then a few days later had a sharp pain, which led to a surgery that would have bankrupted this particular person the week before. He pointed out that in 2014, gender discrimination, regarding the price of health insurance will end, thanks to the ACA. In Colorado, gender discrimination is already illegal, but in Wyoming, a state near and dear to my heart, but so far behind in many ways, women pay 76 to 100% more than men for health insurance. Wyoming and Arkansas lead the way in this sorry respect and in 2014 they will no longer.
Obama hit his opponents hard on many issues and, by doing so, everyone watching tonight’s address got to see the tepid reaction on the right to: equal pay for women, raising the minimum wage, ending the war in Afghanistan, preventing American military intervention in Syria, making a deal with Iran to put an end to their nuclear ambitions, and to this gem, “America must move off a permanent war footing.” Beautiful.
It was an oddly energizing speech. One doesn’t expect much from these formalities, but sometimes something promising breaks through. Tonight that happened. Obama was only confrontational because he listed his administration’s successes, those his opponents spent so much time and energy resisting without providing thorough solutions themselves.
And yet, the Republican address is given by a woman whose party didn’t seem very excited at all about paying females the .23 cents on the dollar they lose to their male counterparts solely because they are female.
There is still a lot of work to do, but Obama did channel hope and promise tonight and those who stayed in their seats did not come off looking very good.
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The Winter Olympics Under An Authoritarian Leader

Last month’s issue of Outside Magazine has an excellent article about the havoc and destruction brought to Sochi by the preparation for this February’s Winter Olympics. I’m not surprised that Putin is doing whatever he wants in this supposedly public and protected corner of Russian wilderness, but to read many first-hand accounts of Putin’s forces crushing various attempts by citizens to end illegal construction or bring attention to previously protected natural habitats is astonishing. One such mission by these concerned citizens is to investigate an illegal compound (named Moonglade) on or near a Unesco world heritage site. It is rumored that Putin has built one of his palaces there. At the moment, everything and everyone going to this palace is flown in by helicopter. Russia has already been warned by Unesco to stop the construction of one road, but it is reported in Outside’s article that another road is under construction, this one coming in from the other side of the property.

It’s embarrassing that the Olympic Games are awarded to countries (really their leaders) that are going to permanently destroy homes and natural beauty to put on a sporting event for two weeks. Sochi will never be the same and the people of the region, if they profit at all from this, are eventually going to be left poor with a nice selection of bulldozed-over nature preserves.

Thank you, Outside, for bringing to your readers a better understanding of Putin’s dirty methods.

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Stephen Kinzer and David Sanger at DU

An advantage to still living in Denver is that I can attend speaking events at the Josef Korbel School of International Studies at the University of Denver, where I received my graduate degree. Today, the dean of the school (Ambassador Christopher Hill) had a discussion with Stephen Kinzer and David E. Sanger, two of the best journalists writing today, at the Anderson Academic Commons on DU’s campus. The discussion was especially focused on China, Iran, and Syria, but it did touch on Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, Israel, Germany, and Turkey. My intention with this post is to simply highlight a few of the things that were mentioned today regarding the countries listed above.

An interesting point that Kinzer hit on right away is that China and India are the number one and number two importers of Saudi Arabian oil, respectively. He rhetorically asked the audience what these countries are doing to protect their supply of oil from the Kingdom. The answer is nothing, because as Kinzer pointed out to the audience, the US is doing all the work. Now to today’s crowd at DU this didn’t really come as a shock, but it would to many Americans. Kinzer expressed an idea that was also written about by Fareed Zakaria in last week’s issue of Time, it’s the idea that what is good for the US is not necessarily good for Saudi Arabia. Or as the title of Zakaria’s piece puts more bluntly, “The Saudis Are Mad? Tough!”

Sanger spent a decent amount of time talking about the light footprint strategy (with drones, special forces, etc.) Obama has used in the Middle East and how that strategy is losing a little steam in the second term so far. In the first term it gave America the chance for it to protect its interests, but to avoid a long-term operation, such as the Iraq War or the War in Afghanistan.

Moving on to Iran, Sanger did highlight just how much closer the Iranians are to a bomb now than they were when Obama first took office. He thinks that for a legitimate deal to be struck with the Iranians, they would have to deconstruct some of what they’ve built since 2008. This would, in theory, give the US and its allies in the Middle East, a little time to deal with an Iran that suddenly leaped forward in construction of a bomb. I think Sanger makes a good point. I do not see an agreement with Iran moving forward unless they take some steps backward. If they do not, I do not think there is a chance of Israel supporting us in an agreement with Iran and, of course, the Right in America will attempt to further destroy Obama’s foreign policy legacy, which the Right already has determined as embarrassing for America.

Kinzer’s most interesting contribution to this afternoon’s panel discussion was about Iran and the ongoing sanctions there. He pointed out that goods banned by sanctions still arrive in the marketplace, but that they are just absurdly expensive and typically controlled by very powerful factions. These people or groups are called sanction busters, and Iran’s biggest sanction busting group is the Revolutionary Guard. Naturally, if they are gaining in power and raking in the money from the sanctions on Iran, the Revolutionary Guard is not very interested in a deal between the US and Iran being struck. He mentioned that in George W Bush’s administration there was a sort of rule that no one could refer to Iran as having legitimate security interests. That is easy to believe. Can you imagine this guy being concerned about Iran? That’s what I thought. Kinzer highlighted the “huge trust gap” between the two countries and he emphasized the need for “verification mechanisms” if any deal is to be made. I especially liked this quote from him, “Emotion is always the enemy of wise statesmanship.”

Hill asked both men if a nuclear Iran could be contained? They seemed to agree, that Iran would not instantly launch missiles at their enemies if the country had them, but the real threat from a nuclear Iran is the message that would send to the rest of the region. Other Middle East nations would immediately start to move toward nuclear development. Of course, Iran would be able to powerfully (and probably successfully) intimidate the entire region if they did have a bomb.

Snowden and the NSA were bound to come up. Sanger shared that Angela Merkel’s phone has been periodically tapped since 2002. She was on a lengthy list of Europeans who were being eavesdropped on. Now, since the Snowden revelations have revealed the extent to which the US is spying on its friends and enemies, Sanger shared that the country has to review the cost of targeting its partners. In regards to China, Sanger pointed out that the NSA story has soured China-US talks on cyber security. China now has more reason to call the US a hypocrite when it comes to spying, but what the NSA has done is not comparable to China’s “industrial espionage.”

There seemed to be agreement between the two journalists that a breakthrough with Iran would be Obama’s key foreign policy achievement. Kinzer spoke of the pro-American sentiment that he has personally experienced in Iran. I think the fact that most Iranians are pro-American is not widely known by Americans nor widely shared by most American media outlets. It wouldn’t surprise me if a decent amount of Americans thought Iranians were still like the Iranians portrayed in last year’s Oscar-winning Argo. Unfortunately, America does get a large dose of their understanding of the wider world through Hollywood.

Overall, today’s event was one of the best Korbel has put on during the last three years I’ve been affiliated with the school. Until next time, DU.

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Will this long peace last?

Nearly sixty-eight years ago, the last hot war among great, world powers ended. Since then, the world has seen many conflicts, but none that have encompassed the globe. John Gaddis first dubbed this period of relative peace the “long peace”.[1] Surely, this is an era enjoyed by scholars belonging to varying schools of thought in international relations, but not all scholars agree that the long peace will endure. On this one, I’ll side with the realist scholar Kenneth Waltz, who rightly points out, “Every time peace breaks out, people pop up to proclaim that realism is dead.”[2]

In a November 2011 infographic, the New York Times borrowed data from Matthew White’s book, The Great Big Book of Horrible Things, to plot the number of deaths from wars, institutional oppression, failed states, and despots.[3] The infographic lists the ten deadliest wars and intrastate conflicts by percentage of world population killed. There are some shocking statistics, such as this, 11.1% of the global population falling victim to the rule of Genghis Khan, but as one traces the conflicts into the modern era, Bill Marsh notes, “killings as a percentage of all humanity are probably declining.”[4] Indeed, that seems to be the trend since only two events after the year 1900, World War II (which killed 2.6% of humanity) and the rule of Mao Zedong (which killed 1.3% of humanity), made it onto the ten deadliest list.[5] But does the decline in killings as a percentage of all humanity mean we have arrived at a long peace that is to last? The chances are not great that it does, especially looking at the list in a different way.

There is no predicting exactly when the next great power war will happen, but if we calculate the average number of years between the ten deadliest conflicts from the list mentioned above, we see that the gap averages 197 years.[6] There are great wars not included in this list, such as World War I, which would shorten that gap, but nevertheless, it is significant that two conflicts since the year 1900 are included among the ten deadliest of all time, especially when confronting those that argue great power wars are a thing of the past. Sixty-eight years of peace between the major powers is noteworthy, but Waltz would argue, and I agree, that sixty-eight years does not represent a change of the system and “the ominous shadow of the future continues to cast its pall over interacting states.”[7]

In his 2011 book, The Better Angels of Our Nature, Steven Pinker also uses statistics from Matthew White’s research where he constructs a list of the twenty-one “Worst Things People Have Done to Each Other.”[8] Pinker adjusts the death toll for each of these conflicts to a mid-twentieth century equivalent, showing that if some previous atrocities occurred when the global population was much larger, the death toll would far exceed that of World War II.[9] Thus, the argument that wars are becoming less deadly emerges again. This pattern is promising, but not strong enough to argue that a great power war won’t occur again, nor that the next conflict doesn’t have the potential to surpass one of the countries on Pinker’s list. In fact, the data is disturbing because six conflicts from Pinker’s list occurred in the twentieth century and an additional conflict (Congo Free State) continued from the nineteenth century into the twentieth century.[10] That means seven of the twenty-one worst things humans have done to each other have taken place in the last 113 years. That these seven conflicts are not at the top of the list isn’t much of a comfort since together they have killed 150 million people since the beginning of the Congo Free State.[11] A more honest extrapolation from this list is that great wars don’t happen in any predictable pattern, but they do happen. Whether there are just twenty-one years between the conflicts, as in the case of the World Wars, or, if like the current situation, the peace lasts sixty-eight years, the chances of history repeating itself are heavily in the realists’ favor.

It is understood that most of these conflicts were not great power wars and in fact were intrastate wars or internal policies that led to a huge loss of life, as was the case under the rule of Mao Zedong. However, assessing these conflicts from a realist perspective means it is likely that in the modern era an intrastate conflict that approaches anything near killing one percent of humanity, would attract the ire and intervention of great powers. Additionally, in an increasingly interdependent world, an intrastate conflict of the magnitude near that of the conflicts listed above certainly has the promise of creating a great power war. This belief is based on “realism’s five assumptions about the international system,” according to John Mearsheimer.[12] The assumptions are “that the international system is anarchic,” “states inherently possess some offensive military capability,” “states can never be certain about the intentions of other states,” “the most basic motive driving states is survival,” and “states think strategically about how to survive in the international system.”[13]

A possible scenario that could end the long peace is the appearance of new, great powers that “will emerge as the uneven growth process narrows the gap between the hegemon and the eligible states that are positioned to emerge as its competitors.”[14] Christopher Layne argues that this happens either through balancing, where states seek “to correct a skewed distribution of relative power in the international system,” or through the sameness effect, where states, seeking to replicate the hegemon, merely imitate its behavior.[15] The authors of Power Transitions: Strategies for the 21st Century would not disagree with this assessment. They believe the states most likely to do this in the next century are China by 2050 and India by the end of the twenty-first century.[16] Where they might differ with Layne, is that they believe “transitions within regional hierarchies are inevitable,” and that the dominant power will have to “stabilize regions in order to avoid great power intervention.”[17]  This is an extremely fine line to walk and the success of the dominant power in doing this rests in a policy that simultaneously intervenes in regional disputes, but also keeps the emerging powers satisfied so as not to start a major power war.

There are those that do believe international institutions have the capability to bring great powers to the proverbial table so that all can walk away satisfied, maintaining the long peace we have enjoyed for sixty-eight years. These same people are often skeptical of the realist’s assumptions and predicted patterns of behavior. Robert Keohane and Lisa Martin criticize Mearsheimer’s idea that, “‘every state would like to be the most formidable military power in the system.’”[18] They point out that no one thinks Switzerland and Argentina want to be the dominant power.[19] But they fail to mention a time when Switzerland and Argentina had the window of opportunity to become the world’s dominant power and declined that role. That is because that window never existed for either of those countries and a realist would argue that given the chance/s, it is inevitable that Argentina and Switzerland would have made a move to become a global power if they had the capability to do so. Continuing to criticize the realist perspective, Keohane and Martin mention that even the United States “could reasonably have expected to become the most powerful state in the world, but did not seek such a position” during the interwar period.[20] This was true for twenty-three years, but given enough chances, a country will try to assume the title of great power or global hegemon if it has the capability. The United States did exactly that following World War II and it hasn’t expressed any interest in relinquishing that title since.

In a 1990 paper, John Mueller likened major war as falling out of fashion like dueling and slavery, but he fails to mention that both of those practices continue to this day in the form of gang violence and sex trafficking, to name two.[21] He writes, “If war, like dueling, comes to be viewed as a thoroughly undesirable, even ridiculous, policy, and if it can no longer promise gains, or if potential combatants come no longer to value the things it can gain for them, then war can fade away.”[22] But the realist contention with this argument is that great powers, even moderate powers, will always desire their security and thus always view war as a viable option as long as they aren’t willing to give up their land and sovereignty to a dominant power. Mueller’s larger argument suggests that war has fallen out of favor with the great powers, especially following World War I, when “the notion that the institution of war, particularly war in the developed world, was repulsive, uncivilized, immoral, and futile” took hold as a powerful idea, one that the victors of WWI were committed to.[23] But then what happened with World War II? His answer, the European powers understood that war was bad after WWI, but it took WWII for Japan to get “the message most Europeans had received from WWI.”[24] But then how do we determine who has and has not received this message? Is it through membership in the United Nations? Iran is a member nation, but many would argue Iran has not received this message, perhaps now they have with Rouhani at the helm, but that has yet to be truly tested. Even though Iran is not a great power, it has powerful allies in China and Russia that, if brazen enough, could stand up to the United States in the scenario that the United States felt so threatened by Iran’s nuclear program that they ordered air strikes to take out all of Iran’s enrichment facilities.

I am afraid that another war is inevitable, even though it may not be nearly as deadly as WWII. The next great power war may be a cyber war. “That we have not seen a cyber-incident as shocking as Pearl Harbor or 9/11 is not a cogent justification for academics to neglect the topic.”[25] How does a country prepare for this? It must maintain a strong offensive and defensive military capability. Luckily, the United States is over-prepared in this respect, but it could afford to scale back the size of its military to a more reasonable size when compared to China’s military, for example. Additionally, an increase in cyber warfare capabilities should be implemented to protect against the possible new frontier of great power war.

Lastly, despite my realist tendencies in tackling this question, I do believe maintaining membership in international institutions is important if the United States is committed to eliminating some war, but we would be foolish to subscribe to the idea that an institution can overpower all of the inherent realist patterns of behavior in international politics. Similarly, recognition of the fact that great power war is on the decline does not mean that great power wars are over. Whether it is another sixty-eight years or twenty years, another war will disturb the long peace as it has disturbed every other long peace in human history.

 

 

Notes


[1] Steven Pinker, The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declined (New York: Viking, 2011), 190.

[2] Kenneth N. Waltz, “Structural Realism after the Cold War,” International Security 25, no. 1 (2000): 39.

[3] Bill Marsh and Matthew White, “Population Control, Marauder Style,” New York Times, November 6, 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2011/11/06/opinion/06atrocities_timeline.html

[4] Ibid.

[5] Ibid.

[6] I calculated this average by taking the number of years between the end of a conflict and the beginning of the next for the ten deadliest conflicts by percentage of humanity killed. If conflicts overlapped, then the gap was valued as 0 years.

[7] Kenneth N. Waltz, “Structural Realism after the Cold War,” International Security 25, no. 1 (2000): 39.

[8] Steven Pinker, The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declined (New York: Viking, 2012), 194-95.

[9] Ibid.

[10] Ibid.

[11] Ibid.

[12] John J. Mearsheimer, “The False Promise of International Institutions,” International Security 19, no. 3 (1994/95): 10.

[13] Ibid.

[14] Christopher Layne, “The Unipolar Illusion: Why New Great Powers Will Rise,” International Security 17, no. 4 (1993): 11.

[15] Ibid., 12, 15.

[16] Ronald L. Tammen et al., Power Transitions: Strategies for the 21st Century (New York: Seven Bridges, 2000), 42.

[17] Ibid., 185.

[18] Robert O. Keohane and Lisa L. Martin, “The Promise of Institutionalist Theory,” International Security 20, no. 1 (1995): 41.

[19] Ibid.

[20] Ibid.

[21] John Mueller, “The Obsolescence of Major War,” Bulletin of Peace Proposals 21, no. 3 (1990): 321-328.

[22] Ibid., 322.

[23] Ibid., 324.

[24] Ibid.

[25] Adam P. Liff, “Cyberwar: A New ‘Absolute Weapon’? The Proliferation of Cyberwarfare Capabilities and Interstate War,” The Journal of Strategic Studies 35, no. 3 (June 2012): 404.

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Keller and Greenwald Exchange

I’m a little behind the curve on this one, but because the exchange about journalism between the Times‘ Bill Keller and the Guardian’s Glenn Greenwald is so long, I didn’t finish reading it until today. I wanted to link to it here on the blog because I really value the Times‘, but I also agree with some of Greenwald’s criticisms of the Times. And, of course, an exchange about journalism, its past, present, and future, is quite relevant to international relations/events and the way they are reported and analyzed by traditional news organizations, like the Times, and by an adversarial journalist, such as Greenwald.

Read the exchange here. Money quote:

You insist that “all journalism has a point of view and a set of interests it advances, even if efforts are made to conceal it.” And therefore there’s no point in attempting to be impartial. (I avoid the word “objective,” which suggests a mythical perfect state of truth.) Moreover, in case after case, where the mainstream media are involved, you are convinced that you, Glenn Greenwald, know what that controlling “set of interests” is. It’s never anything as innocent as a sense of fair play or a determination to let the reader decide; it must be some slavish fealty to powerful political forces. – Bill Keller

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Targeted Killings

The following post is adapted from a paper I wrote in 2011 following the targeting and killing of Anwar al-Awlaki. I borrowed heavily from Berger’s book Jihad Joe for the background information on Awlaki.

United States Foreign Policy and Targeted Killings: The case of Anwar al-Awlaki

On September 30, 2011, the United States launched a successful attack targeting and killing Anwar al-Awlaki in Yemen. Samir Khan, although not the specified target of the attack, was also killed in the strike. Awlaki and Khan held U.S. citizenship, as well as citizenship in Yemen and Saudi Arabia, respectfully. Immediately following the attack, there were varied criticisms of the strike against U.S. citizens from law experts and media outlets. The two primary objections to the targeting and killing of an American citizen in Yemen that have been raised are: 1) the U.S. is not involved in an armed conflict in Yemen so to use military force violates international law, and 2) the targeted killing of an American violates the Constitution and international human rights law and it isn’t explicitly allowed in the war model of current U.S. foreign policy.

The ongoing war against al-Qaeda and its affiliates has presented unique challenges to carrying out U.S. foreign policy objectives given its borderless nature and the broad definition of affiliates, which is “intended to reflect a broader category of entities against whom the United States must bring various elements of national power, as appropriate and consistent with the law, to counter the threat they pose.”[1]

I. The Rise of Anwar al-Awlaki

In order to better understand both of the objections (see above) raised in response to Awlaki’s death and the reasons the United States targeted him in the first place, it is necessary to detail his rise from engineering student at Colorado State University to global terrorist issuing statements on behalf of al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), which urged terrorists, among other things, not to “consult anyone in killing the Americans.”[2]

Anwar al-Awlaki was born in 1971 to Dr. Nasser al-Awlaki and his wife in Las Cruces, New Mexico.[3] The family moved to Yemen, their homeland, when Awlaki was seven years old. There it is said that Awlaki “consumed American popular culture voraciously” and returned to the United States in 1991 to study engineering at CSU “on a U.S. government scholarship awarded to foreign students. He lied about his citizenship in order to qualify.”[4] Eventually, Awlaki’s interest in his faith and his personal interpretation of Islamic texts led him to the Ar-Ribat Al-Islami mosque in La Mesa, California, where he was known to encourage some of his followers to partake in jihad.[5] It is important to note that up until this point, Awlaki was not prominently working against U.S. foreign policy objectives abroad. Although he was addressing them through sermons, there remains no proof that at this time he was actively planning or preparing missions abroad to disrupt American interests or objectives in the Middle East. However, This doesn’t mean Awlaki wasn’t being watched.

“At some point in the 1990s, the FBI opened a file on him” but the investigation concluded in March 2000 when the agent on the case “wrote that Awlaki had been ‘fully identified and does not meet the criterion for [further] investigation.’”[6]

In hindsight, Awlaki may have played a crucial role by motivating two of the 9/11 hijackers in early 2000, before the FBI closed their investigation of him. It was during this time that two men named Nawaf Al Hazmi and Khalid Al Mindhar visited the Ar-Ribat mosque where Awlaki was preaching. “Both men were members of al-Qaeda—and both would take part in the hijacking of American Airlines Flight 77 and its subsequent crash into the Pentagon on September 11.”[7] In The Looming Tower, Lawrence Wright attributes significant importance to these men, writing that tracking their movements “offered the most realistic hope for American intelligence to uncover the 9/11 conspiracy.”[8] Unfortunately, the importance of Hazmi and Mindhar wasn’t known across all intelligence agencies. Even the CIA didn’t know Hazmi had flown to Los Angeles on January 15, 2000 until three months after the fact.[9] Had the true threat of Hazmi and Mindhar been known, it is likely that Awlaki would have never met with a hellfire missile in the desert of Yemen eleven years later, but instead would have been arrested in California. In reality though the relationships among the three men remained hazy to the FBI, even though they “wanted badly to arrest Awlaki but couldn’t come up with the hard evidence.”[10] One FBI agent later told the 9/11 Commission “if anyone had knowledge of the plot, it was Awlaki.”[11]

Awlaki’s next move was to Falls Church, Virginia, to be an imam at Dar Al Hijrah mosque. It was here where Awlaki, a week after the 9/11 attacks, criticizing media and government explanations for why America was attacked, preached, “We were told this was an attack on American civilization. We were told this was an attack on American freedom, on the American way of life. This wasn’t an attack on any of this. This was an attack on U.S. foreign policy.”[12] Under pressure from the Joint Terrorism Task Force in San Diego, the U.S. issued a warrant for Awlaki’s arrest based on passport fraud in Colorado due to the lack of evidence tying the imam to 9/11.[13] Awlaki had been preaching abroad and when he returned to the U.S. in October of 2002 he was held by immigration officials for four hours, but released when it was discovered that his arrest warrant had been revoked one day earlier. The warrant was revoked by “an assistant U.S. attorney in Denver, David Gaouette, who said in 2009 that his office “couldn’t prove the case beyond a reasonable doubt and we asked the court to withdraw the complaint,” adding that he couldn’t prosecute someone for a ‘bad reputation.’”[14] At this point, Awlaki caught on to the ongoing interest the intelligence community had in him and he moved his family to London and then to Yemen two years later in 2004. Once in Yemen, Awlaki quickly became a significant barrier to the U.S. and meeting foreign policy goals in the region. He is reported to have been a motivator for Nidal Hasan who was responsible for the Fort Hood shootings. And after the failed attempt to take down a Northwest Airlines flight over Detroit in December 2009, the perpetrator Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab, “told the FBI after his arrest” that Awlaki “had explicitly directed him to carry out the attack.”[15]

Throughout 2009 and 2010, Awlaki was added to several lists, which put him squarely in the crosshairs of American guns, or to be more specific, on the infrared cameras of U.S. drones buzzing around the skies of the Middle East. Even prior to the December 2009 incident, the Obama administration had “authorized the capture or killing of [the] U.S. –born Muslim cleric” in April 2009.[16] And, “On July 16, 2010, the U.S. Department of the Treasury issued an order designating Anwar al-Aulaqi a ‘Specially Designated Global Terrorist’ for, inter alia, ‘acting for or on behalf of al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula…and for providing financial, material or technological support for, or other services to or in support of, acts of terrorism [.]’”[17] And a few days later Awlaki was added to the “United Nations 1267 Committee’s Consolidated List of individuals and entities associated with al Qa’ida or the Taliban.”[18]

The aforementioned listings and increasingly violent ideology coming from Awlaki came to a head on September 30, 2011. According to The Guardian and the Yemini government, Awlaki “was ‘targeted and killed’ around 9:55am outside the town of Khasaf in a desert stretch of Jawf province, 87 miles (140km) east of the capital Sana’a.”[19] President Obama referred to Awlaki’s death as “‘another significant milestone’ in America’s fight against al-Qaida.”[20] However, many in the U.S. and abroad did not receive the news of Awlaki’s death as positively as President Obama did, specifically disagreeing with the placement of Awlaki into the framework of the United States’ war model in the region and the goals of disrupting and defeating al-Qaeda and its affiliates.

II. Criticisms of the Strike on Awlaki

When taking into consideration the objections to targeting and killing a U.S. citizen abroad, it is valuable to note that by late September and early October of 2011 the U.S. government was already quite practiced in defending at least the placement of Awlaki on a capture or kill list due to a lawsuit filed on behalf of Nasser Al-Aulaqi, Anwar’s father, who brought “this action on his own behalf and as next friend to his son.”[21] The Washington Post reported, “The American Civil Liberties Union and the Center for Constitutional Rights filed” the lawsuit “challenging the U.S. government’s authority to target and kill U.S. citizens outside of war zones when they are suspected of involvement in terrorism.”[22] Echoing the first primary objection to the killing mentioned above, the lawyers wrote, “The United States is not at war with Yemen, or within it. Nonetheless, U.S. government officials have disclosed the government’s intention to carry out the targeted killing of U.S. citizen Anwar Al-Aulaqi, who is hiding there.”[23] The lawyers said that the targeting alone was a violation of the 4th and 5th Amendments and a violation of the Alien Tort Statute against extrajudicial killing. However, each objection stating that the targeting of Awlaki was illegal also had this pertinent phrase at the end: “in circumstances in which they [the targeted person/s] do not present concrete, specific, and imminent threats to life or physical safety, and where there are means other than lethal force that could reasonably be employed to neutralize any such threat.”[24] Thus, the targeting of Awlaki—the lawyers admitted—was legal if Awlaki was shown to be a “concrete, specific, and imminent threat to life or physical safety.” This made it rather easy for the government to dismiss this objection because of the general framework of the U.S. war against al-Qaeda and its affiliates.

The ACLU, having lost the lawsuit mentioned above, was quick to write the day Awlaki died, “The targeted killing program violates both U.S. and international law. As we’ve seen today, this is a program under which American citizens far from any battlefield can be executed by their own government without judicial process, and on the basis of standards and evidence that are kept secret not just from the public but from the courts.”[25]

Getting less attention, but perhaps as important, is the killing of Samir Khan. The Economist asked, “What precisely…were the grounds for killing the other American jihadist, a website editor against whom the evidence seems less definitive?”[26] For terrorists, the event lent itself as an opportunity to criticize the U.S. and also as a recruiting tool, in their minds showing how hypocritical the U.S. is in regards to its own judicial process. The SITE Intelligence Group, “which monitors and translates jihadist online forums” referred to a statement that said, “The Americans killed the preaching sheikh Anwar al-Awlaki and Samir Khan, and they did not prove the accusation against them, and did not present evidence against them in their unjust laws of their freedom.”[27]

Also concerning to critics is the idea that the U.S. didn’t attempt to arrest Awlaki before going ahead with the strike. In his journal article on “Targeted Killings and International Human Rights Law,” Michael Ramsden addresses the popular argument that killing Awlaki not only violated the U.S. foreign policy war model, but it also paid no attention to international law. In order for the strike to be justified, Ramsden wrote, “The state must establish that all measures to arrest or incapacitate the suspected terrorist were exhausted prior to using lethal force…For instance, if it was possible to arrest the suspected terrorist at any earlier stage, and it was a foreseeable consequence that lethal force would have to be used later, then there would be a violation of the right to life.”[28] According to some of the cables leaked in the massive release from WikiLeaks in December 2010, the government had exercised other options and President of Yemen Ali Abdullah Saleh told John Brennan in September 2009, “I have given you an open door on terrorism.”[29] That said, Saleh couldn’t allow US troops on the ground in Yemen due to the inevitable outcry from domestic critics. So it was agreed that US drones would “circle out of sight outside Yemeni territory ready to engage AQAP targets should actionable intelligence become available.”[30] Ramsden also cites credible evidence that Yemen wasn’t prepared militarily to act on actionable intelligence. “To cite just one example, in December 2001, Yemen forces attempted to capture Al-Harithi, an Al-Qaeda leader and the mastermind of the USS Cole bombings. Yet, it was reported that over 18 soldiers died in a failed capture attempt.”[31] The strike that did finally take Harithi out was accomplished by a hellfire missile launched from a CIA predator drone, the same type of strike used against Awlaki. The November 2002 attack also killed a U.S. citizen, Ahmed Hijazi, who was riding in the car with Harithi, “100 miles east of the Yemeni capital, Sanaa”[32] and roughly in the same region as where Awlaki met his end.

The critiques of the targeting and killing of American citizens abroad are quite numerous and this post is not the appropriate place for an in depth look at all of them. However, to examine a few of them shows the overarching theme espoused by the critics, that the killing violates U.S. and international law and that United States foreign policy objectives in the region don’t allow for American citizens or foreigners to be targeted in a country the U.S. isn’t currently at war in.

III. The United States Defends the Strike

What most of these criticisms overlook are the primary documents responsible for framing U.S. security goals in the Middle East. First among them is the Senate Joint Resolution 23, signed in the aftermath of 9/11 and more commonly referred to as the Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF), which reads:

The President is authorized to use all necessary and appropriate force against those nations, organizations, or persons he determines planned, authorized, committed, or aided the terrorist attacks that occurred on September 11, 2001, or harbored such organizations or persons, in order to prevent any future acts of international terrorism against the United States by such nations, organizations or persons.[33]

This resolution allows for a high degree of flexibility in terms of what methods are used and who is deemed a terrorist connected to the September 11 attacks or connected to any future acts of international terrorism. When faced with criticism of the sort mentioned in the previous section, the AUMF is the trump card. For example, the day Awlaki was killed an Obama administration official told The Washington Post, “As a general matter, it would be entirely lawful for the United States to target high-level leaders of enemy forces, regardless of their nationality, who are plotting to kill Americans both under the authority provided by Congress in its use of military force in the armed conflict with al-Qaeda, the Taliban, and associated forces.”[34]

Both the National Strategy For Counterterrorism (2011) and the National Security Strategy (2010) are broadly inclusive in terms of potential targets and foreign policy goals. It is important, however, to remember that these documents do not have the status of law that the AUMF has.

The strategy on counterterrorism states, “The preeminent security threat to the United States continues to be from al-Qa’ida and its affiliates and adherents.”[35] And included within that “broader category of entities” is AQAP and it is mentioned throughout the counterterrorism strategy as a substantial threat. “The United States faces a sustained threat from Yemen-based AQAP, which has shown the intent and capability to plan attacks against the U.S. Homeland and U.S. partners.”[36]

AQAP is linked with al-Qaeda in the National Security Strategy as well, which says, “Wherever al-Qa’ida or its terrorist affiliates attempt to establish a safe haven—as they have in Yemen, Somalia, the Maghreb, and the Sahel—we will meet them with growing pressure.”[37] The framing here, and in the counterterrorism strategy, of where the United States’ war with al-Qaeda is actually taking place is clear. The war is wherever al-Qaeda and the furthest reaches of its terrorist network reside.

When critics of the Awlaki hit, like Mary Ellen O’Connell, vice chairman of the American Society of International Law, say, “The United States is not involved in any armed conflict in Yemen so to use military force to carry out these killings violates international law,” they seem to underappreciate the scope of the U.S. operation approved in the AUMF. This isn’t saying O’Connell has to agree with them, of course she has her choice, but the U.S. has so broadly defined the targets in this war and the physical battlefield that her argument falls flat. Remarks made by John O. Brennan, Assistant to the President for Homeland Security and Counterterrorism, at Harvard Law School in September 2011, are largely viewed as the oral defense of targeted killings. In regards to the battlefield, he admits:

An area in which there is some disagreement is the geographic scope of the conflict. The United States does not view our authority to use military force against al-Qa’ida as being restricted solely to “hot” battlefields like Afghanistan. Because we are engaged in an armed conflict with al-Qa’ida, the United States takes the legal position that—in accordance with international law—we have the authority to take action against al-Qa’ida and its associated forces without doing a separate self-defense analysis each time. And as President Obama has stated on numerous occasions, we reserve the right to take unilateral action if or when other governments are unwilling or unable to take the necessary actions themselves.[38]

The U.S. doesn’t need to redefine its foreign policy to justify a strike in any country as long as it deems the target as one linked with al-Qaeda and its affiliates as it did in its brief dismissing the lawsuit filed by Awlaki’s father, “Anwar al-Aulaqi has pledged an oath of loyalty to AQAP emir, Nasir al-Wahishi, and is playing a key role in setting the strategic direction for AQAP” and Awlaki “is a leader of AQAP, a Yemen-based terrorist group that has claimed responsibility for numerous terrorist acts against Saudi, Korean, Yemeni, and U.S. targets since January 2009.”[39]

When carrying out missions like the one against Awlaki, the United States not only relies on the expansive wording of its foreign policy objectives, it also strategically uses certain branches of U.S. intelligence and defense in order to justify actions. The Guardian rightly pointed out in the immediate aftermath of the Awlaki event, that the hunt for him “would have been overseen by the CIA, in large part to enable it to be classified as ‘covert action’ that not only gives the American pursuers a freer hand in how they operate, but means they are not obliged to seek the approval of the Yemeni government.”[40] Essentially, covert action is a loophole, which enables the U.S. to bypass traditional obstacles like government approval from Yemen in this case. This is allowed by U.S. Code, Title 50, 413b “Presidential approval and reporting of covert actions,” which states:

The President may not authorize the conduct of a covert action by departments, agencies, or entities of the United States Government unless the President determines such an action is necessary to support identifiable foreign policy objectives of the United States and is important to the national security of the United States, which determination shall be set forth in a finding.[41]

This was not the first time the U.S. used this strategy in the war against al-Qaeda. It was the CIA that fired the hellfire missile in the November 2002 Yemen strike that killed Hirithi and an American citizen.

The biggest critique of Title 50, 413b, in the Awlaki case, is that the “finding,” which identifies foreign policy objectives met by the targeted killing of the individual, isn’t available to the public because the Obama administration has invoked the state secrets privilege. This has drawn ire from many in the legal sector. Jameel Jaffer, director of the ACLU’s National Security Project said, “Whatever people think about the merits of the program [targeted killing], we think at a minimum Americans have a right to know under what circumstances the government has the right to impose the death penalty without charge or trial.”[42] The AUMF of 2001 provides a more solid foundation for rebutting critics than the administration does when it uses the state secrets privilege. However, Brennan assured the audience at Harvard Law School that the administration “instituted a new process to consider invocation of the so-called ‘state secrets privilege,’… This process ensures that this privilege is never used simply to hide embarrassing or unlawful government activities. But, it also recognizes that its use is absolutely necessary in certain cases for the protection of national security.”[43]

Despite the newly found prudence of the Obama administration, the state secrets privilege was invoked twice within the last two years in the Awlaki case. Once, in the September 2009 brief filed in response to the lawsuit from Awlaki’s father, “contending that the case should be dismissed to avoid disclosure of sensitive information.”[44] Although the privilege was invoked in this instance, the administration “urged Judge [John D.] Bates to dismiss the case on different grounds.”[45] There was an attempt to do just that because the Obama administration filed a 64-page brief citing other reasons the lawsuit could be dismissed. Among those reasons, one was perhaps the most damning. Recall that the lawsuit brought against the Obama administration said the targeting of Awlaki was a violation of his rights unless he posed a “concrete” and “imminent” threat to America or American interests. The lawyers for the Obama administration elaborated on the concept:

Even assuming…that [the] plaintiff has appropriately described the legal contours of the President’s authority to use force…the questions he would have the court evaluate—such as whether a threat to life or physical safety may be “concrete,” “imminent,” or “specific,” or whether there are “reasonable alternatives” to force—can only be assessed based upon military and foreign policy considerations, intelligence and other sources of sensitive information, and real-time judgments that the Judiciary is not well-suited to evaluate.[46]

Perhaps feeling the need to cover the bases one more time, the lawyers argued that the invocation of the state secrets privilege met the new criteria as determined by the Attorney General that “(1) there must be a ‘formal claim of privilege’; (2) the claim must be ‘lodged by the head of the department which has control over the matter’; and (3) the claim must be made ‘after actual personal consideration by that officer.’”[47] Although the case was dismissed, Judge Bates observed that it raised “stark, and perplexing questions”—including whether the president could “order the assassination of a U.S. citizen without first affording him any form of judicial process whatsoever, based [on] the mere assertion that he is a dangerous member of a terrorist organization.”[48] Again, looking at the AUMF and pairing that with statements from President Obama who referred to Awlaki as the “external operations” chief for AQAP would best inform a critic of the strike.[49] Since AQAP is defined as an affiliate of al-Qaeda and since Awlaki is proven to have some role in AQAP, there exists a system that can legally target and kill an American citizen provided the justification for his killing is known. This leads to the second invocation of the state secrets privilege.

The document justifying the Awlaki strike was reviewed by “senior lawyers across the administration” and “there was no dissent about the legality of killing” Awlaki.[50] The government, however, has chosen to also keep this document hidden from the public. Anticipating the public frustration with this decision and future decisions invoking state secrets, Brennan reminded the public that one of President Obama’s first acts was to issue “a new Executive Order on classified information that, among other things, reestablished the principle that all classified information will ultimately be declassified.”[51] For now, this explanation will have to suffice until the government decides in the future to release the specific justification for killing Awlaki that would have to show he posed a “concrete, specific, and imminent threat to life.”

IV. Conclusion

The foreign policy goals stated in national security documents and paired with the AUMF permit the targeting and killing of an American citizen as long as he or she is deemed a threat to the United States. Since the AUMF in 2001, the targets of the United States’ war against al-Qaeda have been covered by the umbrella term “affiliates,” making it considerably more difficult for rights groups or individuals to win lawsuits, which would bring an end to the targeted killing program. However, within the justifying documents and Brennan’s speech to Harvard Law School, there are several contradictory statements, which do appear to have been disregarded in the rational for killing Awlaki.

Speaking on the war against al-Qaeda and its affiliates, Brennan said, “We must not cut corners by setting aside our values and flouting our laws, treating them like luxuries we cannot afford.”[52] Toward the conclusion of this same speech he says, “As a people, as a nation, we cannot—and we must not—succumb to the temptation to set aside our laws and our values when we face threats to our security, including and especially from groups as depraved as al-Qa’ida.”[53] The U.S. has thus taken a selective approach to its principles. While the U.S. upholds the principle of security at home and abroad in our allied countries, it has been argued that the country’s leaders, in their effort to maintain that security, have disregarded the right against unreasonable searches and seizures as afforded the U.S. citizen in the Fourth Amendment[54] and the right to due-process as afforded the U.S. citizen in the Fifth Amendment.[55] As shown by the result of the lawsuit brought by Nasser al-Awlaki, this argument can be dismissed if the government deems that the information used to justify the killing should remain secret.

For the times when the U.S. citizen becomes a terrorist and is affiliated with al-Qaeda, the AUMF of 2001 allows for the government to act outside of its typical bounds. To meet the unconventional threat of 4th generation warfare, the U.S. has had to adapt some unconventional policies and they have written them with soft definitions in order to justify targeted killings. The U.S. government could further strengthen their case if a U.S. citizen’s overseas involvement in one of these terrorist groups automatically forfeits their citizenship.

The definition of imminence could be called soft because as the threat to the U.S. evolves, so must the definition of imminent to justify such killings. The government recognizes this as well, “We are finding increasing recognition in the international community that a more flexible understanding of ‘imminence’ may be appropriate when dealing with terrorist groups.”[56] Along with having a flexible understanding of imminence, much of the government’s policies in regards to targeted killings calls for the citizen to trust the government’s actions. The U.S. citizen needs to trust that Awlaki did pose an imminent and concrete threat and that the U.S. exercised all other options before killing him. The sovereignty of the country depends on our unwavering trust that in order to guarantee one principle—security—the government isn’t lazily discarding other principles to, above all, maintain its power and economic interests in the Middle East. This trust is also necessary from the international community in order for the U.S. to be perceived as having not violated international law. Michael Ramsden writes that by assuming that “Al-Awlaki is an operational leader of AQAP and has directed acts of terrorism, an arguable case can be made that his targeted killing would be justified under the framework of IHRL [International Human Rights Law].”[57] Even though there is an all-inclusive framework when it comes to the war against al-Qaeda, it still requires the citizens of the United States and other countries to trust that the U.S. government is maintaining honorable, if still flexible, definitions of “imminence” and “concrete,” when carrying out foreign policy initiatives.

Finally, whether one agrees or disagrees with the current U.S. war model, the government—from the outset—recognized the porousness of borders, specifically those in the Middle East, and the capability of the extremism espoused by al-Qaeda and its affiliates to saturate even parts of the U.S. population—no matter how small the percentage. In doing so, the legal framework was made extremely far-reaching and comprehensive, enveloping American citizens and long-term residents involved in any terrorist activity, so that the U.S. government is not in the position in which it would have to continually modify its foreign policy objectives and defined threats in order to give grounds for targeted killings.

 

 

References

Al-Aulaqi v. Obama, Gates, & Panetta. Civ. A. No. 10-cv-1469. Document 15-1, (2010).

Al-Aulaqi v. Obama, Panetta, & Gates. United States District Court for the District of Columbia. No.10-cv-____. August 30, 2010.

Berger, J.M. Jihad Joe: Americans Who Go to War in the Name of Islam. Washington, D.C.: Potomac Books, 2011.

Booth, Robert and Black, Ian. “WikiLeaks cables: Yemen offered US ‘open door’ to attack al-Qaida on its soil.” The Guardian, December 3, 2010. Accessed November 5, 2011. http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/dec/03/wikileaks-yemen-us-attack-al-qaida.

Brennan, John O. “Strengthening our Security by Adhering to our Values and Laws.” Lecture at Program on Law and Security, Harvard Law School, Cambridge, Massachusetts, September 16, 2011. Accessed November 5, 2011. http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2011/09/16/remarks-john-o-brennan-strengthening-our-security-adhering-our-values-an.

Cloud, David S. “U.S. citizen Anwar Awlaki added to CIA target list.” The Los Angeles Times, April 6, 2010. Accessed November 9, 2011. http://articles.latimes.com/2010/apr/06/world/la-fg-yemen-cleric7-2010apr07.

“Drones and the law.” The Economist, October 8, 2011. Accessed November 5, 2011. http://www.economist.com/node/21531477.

“Fifth Amendment.” Legal Information Institute. Cornell University Law School. Accessed November 12, 2011. http://www.law.cornell.edu/wex/fifth_amendment.

Finn, Peter. “Secret U.S. memo sanctioned killing of Aulaqi.” The Washington Post, September 30, 2011. Accessed November 5, 2011. http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/aulaqi-killing-reignites-debate-on-limits-of-executive-power/2011/09/30/gIQAx1bUAL_story.html.

“Fourth Amendment.” Legal Information Institute. Cornell University Law School. Accessed November 12, 2011. http://www.law.cornell.edu/wex/fourth_amendment.

Hsu, Spencer S. “Rights groups sue over U.S. authority to use terror kill list.” The Washington Post, August 31, 2010. Accessed November 5, 2011. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/08/30/AR2010083005284.html.

Ito, Suzanne. “ACLU Lens: American Citizen Anwar Al-Aulaqi Killed Without Judicial Process.” ACLU Blog of Rights, September 30, 2011. Accessed November 4, 2011. http://www.aclu.org/blog/national-security/aclu-lens-american-citizen-anwar-al-aulaqi-killed-without-judicial-process.

“Obama Administration Claims Unchecked Authority To Kill Americans Outside Combat Zones.” ACLU, November 8, 2010. Accessed November 10, 2011, http://www.aclu.org/national-security/obama-administration-claims-unchecked-authority-kill-americans-outside-combat-zone.

Priest, Dana. “U.S. Citizen Among Those Killed In Yemen Predator Missile Strike.” The Washington Post, November 4, 2002. Accessed November 10, 2011. http://tech.mit.edu/V122/N54/long4-54.54w.html.

Ramsden, Michael. “Targeted Killings and International Human Rights Law: The Case of Anwar Al-Awlaki.” Journal of Conflict and Security Law 16.2 (2011): 385-406.

Rushe, Dominic and McGreal, Chris and Burke, Jason and Harding, Luke. “Anwar al-Awlaki death: US keeps role under wraps to manage Yemen fallout.” The Guardian, September 30, 2011. Accessed November 5, 2011. http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/sep/30/anwar-al-awlaki-yemen?newsfeed=true.

Savage, Charlie. “Al Qaeda Group Confirms Deaths of Two American Citizens.” The New York Times, October 10, 2011. Accessed November 5, 2011. http://atwar.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/10/10/al-qaeda-group-confirms-deaths-of-two-american-citizens/.

Savage, Charlie. “Suit Over Targeted Killings Is Thrown Out.” The New York Times, December 7, 2010. Accessed November 6, 2011. http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/08/world/middleeast/08killing.html.

“September 11, 2001: Attack on America Joint Resolution 23; September 13, 2001.” The Avalon Project: Documents in Law, History and Diplomacy. Accessed November 10, 2011. http://avalon.law.yale.edu/sept11/sjres23.asp.

United States Code, Title 50, Chapter 15, Subchapter III, § 413B, “Presidential approval and reporting of covert actions.” Accessed November 6, 2011. http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/50/usc_sec_50_00000413—b000-.html.

United States Department of State. Office of the Spokesman. “Listing of Al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP).” Washington, DC. July 20, 2010. http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2010/07/144929.htm.

United States National Security Council, National Security Strategy, May 2010.

United States National Security Council, National Strategy For Counterterrorism, June 2011.

Wright, Lawrence. The Looming Tower: Al-Qaeda and the Road to 9/11. New York: Alfred A. Knopf, 2006

 

Notes


[1] United States National Security Council, National Strategy For Counterterrorism, June 2011, 3.

[2] J.M. Berger, Jihad Joe: Americans Who Go to War in the Name of Islam, (Washington, D.C.: Potomac Books, 2011), 148.

[3] Ibid., p. 115.

[4] Ibid., p. 115.

[5] Ibid., p. 116.

[6] Ibid., p. 119.

[7] Ibid., p. 120.

[8] Lawrence Wright. The Looming Tower: Al-Qaeda and the Road to 9/11. (New York: Alfred A. Knopf, 2006), 309.

[9] Ibid., p. 312.

[10] Ibid. 2, p. 124.

[11] Ibid. 2, p. 125.

[12] Ibid. 2, p. 133.

[13] Ibid. 2, p. 137.

[14] Ibid. 2, p. 137.

[15] Ibid. 2, p. 146.

[16] David S. Cloud, “U.S. citizen Anwar Awlaki added to CIA target list,” The Los Angeles Times, April 6, 2010, accessed November 9, 2011, http://articles.latimes.com/2010/apr/06/world/la-fg-yemen-cleric7-2010apr07.

[17] Al-Aulaqi v. Obama, Gates, & Panetta, Civ. A. No. 10-cv-1469, Document 15-1, (2010), 6-7.

[18] U.S. Department of State, Office of the Spokesman, “Listing of Al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), (Washington, DC, July 20, 2010), accessed November 9, 2011, http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2010/07/144929.htm.

[19] Dominic Rushe et al., “Anwar al-Awlaki death: US keeps role under wraps to manage Yemen fallout,” The Guardian, September 30, 2011, accessed November 5, 2011, http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/sep/30/anwar-al-awlaki-yemen?newsfeed=true.

[20] Ibid. 19.

[21] Al-Aulaqi v. Obama, Panetta, & Gates, United States District Court for the District of Columbia, No.10-cv-____, (August 30, 2010), 2.

[22] Spencer S. Hsu, “Rights groups sue over U.S. authority to use terror kill list,” The Washington Post, August 31, 2010, accessed November 5, 2011, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/08/30/AR2010083005284.html.

[23] Ibid. 21, p. 2.

[24] Ibid. 21, p. 9.

[25] Suzanne Ito, “ACLU Lens: American Citizen Anwar Al-Aulaqi Killed Without Judicial Process,” ACLU Blog of Rights, September 30, 2011, accessed November 4, 2011, http://www.aclu.org/blog/national-security/aclu-lens-american-citizen-anwar-al-aulaqi-killed-without-judicial-process.

[26] “Drones and the law,” The Economist, October 8, 2011, accessed November 5, 2011, http://www.economist.com/node/21531477.

[27] Charlie Savage, “Al Qaeda Group Confirms Deaths of Two American Citizens,” The New York Times, October 10, 2011, accessed November 5, 2011, http://atwar.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/10/10/al-qaeda-group-confirms-deaths-of-two-american-citizens/.

[28] Michael Ramsden, “Targeted Killings and International Human Rights Law: The Case of Anwar Al-Awlaki,” Journal of Conflict and Security Law, 16.2 (2011), 400.

[29] Robert Booth and Ian Black, “WikiLeaks cables: Yemen offered US ‘open door’ to attack al-Qaida on its soil,” The Guardian, December 3, 2010, accessed November 5, 2011, http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/dec/03/wikileaks-yemen-us-attack-al-qaida.

[30] Ibid.

[31] Ibid. 28, p. 402.

[32] Dana Priest, “U.S. Citizen Among Those Killed In Yemen Predator Missile Strike,” The Washington Post, November 4, 2002, accessed November 10, 2011, http://tech.mit.edu/V122/N54/long4-54.54w.html.

[33] “September 11, 2001: Attack on America Joint Resolution 23; September 13, 2001,” The Avalon Project: Documents in Law, History and Diplomacy, accessed November 10, 2011, http://avalon.law.yale.edu/sept11/sjres23.asp.

[34] Peter Finn, “Secret U.S. memo sanctioned killing of Aulaqi,” The Washington Post, September 30, 2011, accessed November 5, 2011, http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/aulaqi-killing-reignites-debate-on-limits-of-executive-power/2011/09/30/gIQAx1bUAL_story.html.

[35] Ibid. 1, p. 3.

[36] Ibid. 1, p. 14.

[37] United States National Security Council, National Security Strategy, May 2010, 21.

[38] John O. Brennan, “Strengthening our Security by Adhering to our Values and Laws,” (lecture at Program on Law and Security, Harvard Law School, Cambridge, Massachusetts, September 16, 2011), accessed November 5, 2011, http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2011/09/16/remarks-john-o-brennan-strengthening-our-security-adhering-our-values-an.

[39] Ibid. 17, p. 6.

[40] Ibid. 19.

[41] United States Code, Title 50, Chapter 15, Subchapter III, § 413B, “Presidential approval and reporting of covert actions,” accessed November 6, 2011, http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/50/usc_sec_50_00000413—b000-.html.

[42] Ibid. 22.

[43] Ibid. 38.

[44] “Obama Administration Claims Unchecked Authority To Kill Americans Outside Combat Zones,” ACLU, November 8, 2010, accessed November 10, 2011, http://www.aclu.org/national-security/obama-administration-claims-unchecked-authority-kill-americans-outside-combat-zone.

[45] Charlie Savage, “Suit Over Targeted Killings Is Thrown Out,” The New York Times, December 7, 2010, accessed November 6, 2011, http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/08/world/middleeast/08killing.html.

[46] Ibid. 17, p. 4.

[47] Ibid. 17, p. 48.

[48] Ibid. 45.

[49] Ibid 34.

[50] Ibid. 34.

[51] Ibid. 38.

[52] Ibid. 38.

[53] Ibid. 38.

[54] “Fourth Amendment,” Legal Information Institute, Cornell University Law School, accessed November 12, 2011, http://www.law.cornell.edu/wex/fourth_amendment.

[55] “Fifth Amendment,” Legal Information Institute, Cornell University Law School, accessed November 12, 2011, http://www.law.cornell.edu/wex/fifth_amendment

[56] Ibid. 38.

[57] Ibid. 28, p. 406.

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The Syrian Equation

As I read about the developments regarding a US-led intervention in Syria, a theory started popping up. First in blogs and then, in newspapers and on television, people started to suggest that Obama never really wanted to go ahead with a unilateral strike on Syria. The theory argued that going to congress and asking for them to vote on a strike was a stall tactic while the administration worked in the background with Russia to form a diplomatic solution. Theoretically, Obama was confident enough that congress would not cut short their recess and come back to D.C. to vote. He was also, apparently, confident enough that there would be fairly strong opposition within the US House against his suggestion of military action against Syria. Furthermore, he was confident enough that Russia and the US were close enough to an agreement that it would be reached before congress voted and that he could, himself, ask for the vote to be postponed.

Initially, I have to say, I was very skeptical that this was all part of the plan. Obama seemed so urgently bent toward hitting Syria I was ready to divorce him, in a way. He sounded exactly like Bush even though I voted for him because he was the anti-Bush. It just seemed like too big of a gamble on Obama’s part. It seemed like a reckless scheme. In fact, even though my thoughts on it have changed, I still think it was a reckless, scary plan.

As I have read more about the recent developments, especially following Secretary Kerry’s suggestion last week that the US might call off military action if Syria gave up all of their chemical weapons, I started to see the possibilities. Kerry’s suggestion was initially reported as a gaffe and that this solution was not being considered by the White House. But actually, it was first discussed between Obama and Putin at last year’s G20 meeting. At that point in time, Russia was not receptive to the idea, but times have changed, Assad has used his weapons, and Russia might have been feeling a little heat from the international community regarding their unwavering support of Syria’s dictator because Obama and Putin had a discussion at this year’s G20 about a diplomatic solution to this crisis, putting into motion more serious discussion between the two countries about what could be done to avoid an intervention in Syria.

I still do believe what Kerry said was unplanned, even though the plan was underway in the background. And, for Obama, I am wondering if it even mattered how congress voted. I don’t think it did. First, because timing-wise the White House seemed confident enough that they would know Russia’s intent before congress took a vote. Thus, they could let congress know to go ahead with the vote or they could tell congress to postpone the vote because an alternative solution had presented itself. Obviously, the latter happened. But had an alternative solution not been found and congress voted yes, then Obama, I am guessing, would have stalled a little longer to build a larger coalition before striking Syria, while in the meantime a diplomatic solution involving Russia would have, theoretically, been found. And had congress voted no, I believe Obama would have observed their wishes by not moving forward with military action in Syria.

The current solution is complicated and, perhaps, includes a moderate dose of optimism as one of its primary ingredients. Surely, the Syrian rebels do not approve of it and they feel the international community is letting Assad off the hook. From their viewpoint, that might very well seem to be true, but I think the international community is understandably weary of jumping to a military solution when an international norm has been violated. Last time, the international norm being violated was, allegedly, undeclared development of nuclear and chemical weapons in Iraq. As far as the US goes, one solution took the spotlight and it was bright enough to wash out any diplomatic solutions or patience, for that matter. Many nations jumped on board and soon the ship was foundering, with one country after another abandoning ship. Forgive the international community if they aren’t ready for another regime-change experiment in the Middle East, even if the current dictator has killed 100,000+ of his own people.

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9/11 Twelve Years Later

Last year, on September 12, 2012, the day after the eleven-year anniversary of the 9/11 attacks, I read an article in the New York Times. I found one snippet of the article to be profoundly disturbing. Like many 9/11 anniversaries, there was a rally at Ground Zero on this day last year. Someone was speaking to the assembled crowd and the line that received the loudest applause was not, “We will never forget,” but “We will never forgive.”

I understand if someone who lost a loved one on 9/11 has not forgiven those who are responsible, but I don’t think “We will never forgive” should be our rallying cry on this day or any other. If we rally around a statement like that it puts us in a reactive state of mind, the one everyone was in the morning the towers fell.

I have searched for and have failed to find a video I remember watching on this day twelve years ago. The video was of a man, one of the thousands walking out of Manhattan on the Brooklyn Bridge that day. He saw that a news camera was filming the scene and he took a moment to yell into the camera. His voice was understandably filled with rage and he said, “You see this, you see this?” as he pointed toward downtown, “Whoever you are, wherever you are, we are coming for you. We are coming for you!” It was a moment of raw emotion that we all felt that day. It was healthy to have that feeling, to express it, but not healthy to hold on to it.

During the interregnum, between that crisp, fall morning and this morning twelve years later, the US’ ventures in the Middle East have often been misguided by the “We will never forgive” attitude, an attitude that helped fuel erroneous claims that Saddam Hussein was connected to 9/11 and that he was intent on using WMDs or getting them into the hands of terrorists. It is an attitude that has fueled the rise of Islamophobia in the US. It is a “shoot first—think later” state of mind that some still cling to and that others are slowly beginning to shed as the country learns how to walk that fine line between Never Forgetting and Moving On. Do both today.

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Videos from Syria

The graphic videos showing the aftermath of the chemical weapons attack in Syria have been released. These are the videos that senators, congressmen, and women have been shown by the White House as a part of Obama’s efforts to convince the US Congress to support action against Assad. You can view clips of them here at CNN. They really are no more disturbing than the videos I have already seen on blogs and other news sites, so I don’t understand why CNN thinks this is a big story.

I could not be more honest, these videos do not change my mind about the decision our Congress and President Obama need to make. There are images and videos of violence carried about by Syrian rebel groups against pro-Assad Syrians all over the web.

Here is a video of FSA fighters with 15 men, apparently Assad supporters. At first we see the men alive and then the same men are “mysteriously” found with gunshot wounds and throats slit. Warning, the video is graphic. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKMsHdoR-eY 

There’s this 60 Minutes story, which aired in October. It shows a conservative rebel leader whose troops gun down Assad prisoners. Watch it here.

And there’s this article and photo from the cover of the New York Times yesterday.

Lastly, and perhaps the most damning or graphic, is this video, which shows FSA fighters, ones we would be helping, shoot prisoners on the ground.

There is no doubt, Assad has killed more people than the FSA and other rebel groups have killed in this war so far, but there is plenty of blood on the hands of the rebels who also have very questionable motives or “final solutions” if they are in fact victorious.

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Supporting Who Then?

One of the biggest questions that looms over the Syrian intervention is who exactly would we be helping if we were to limit Assad’s capabilities and help rebel groups in their war against Assad? So far, I have not heard one politician articulate a clear answer to this. Why not? Well, it’s just so damn hard for the US to truly know who is with us and who is against us, for one. And two, we don’t really know who is the most militarily effective group in Syria. Is it a group that has expressed similar goals to the US? Is it a group who allies itself with al-Qaeda? Or is it a group who has the best chance at getting their hands on part of Assad’s chemical weapons if he falls?

So far, the US has most closely allied itself with the Free Syrian Army (FSA), but are they having the most success in their fight against Assad? The New Yorker‘s Rania Abouzeid went to Syria in August to find out. Thus, we get this disturbing nugget:

The fight here is critical: this is Assad’s heartland, the base of his support. The battle in these parts is led by a conservative Islamist coalition, spearheaded by Al Qaeda’s the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) and Suqoor el Ezz, headed by a Saudi called Sheikh Sakr. The coalition includes Jabhat al-Nusra, which is also tied to Al Qaeda; the Salafi Ahrar al-Sham brigades; and groups solely made up of foreign fighters, who are here in great numbers. The rebel Free Syrian Army is also fighting here, but not in the lead.

You can read the rest of the article here. It’s not very long at all and I strongly recommend reading it if you want to get a feel for just how many groups are fighting against Assad and his army.

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The Syria Authorization to Use Military Force

Below is a link to the text of the Senate Joint Resolution on Syria. Many news organizations have shared this document as the Syria AUMF (or Authorization to Use Military Force). I first found it and read it on TPM. In other news this morning, Sen. John McCain does not support this resolution. In his mind it doesn’t go far enough. It doesn’t promise to arm the Syrian rebels and it doesn’t promise regime change in Syria.

http://www.scribd.com/doc/165273326

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Syria Links

There is so much developing today concerning the possibility of an American intervention in Syria. From reading Andrew Sullivan’s take on things after he returned from vacation to hearing the news about House Speaker John Boehner’s support of strikes on Syria, there is a lot to be covered.

First, as a blog I regularly read, it’s always a little tough when there are major developments in international affairs or politics when Sullivan is not at the helm of The Dish. His team did do a great job while he was gone, but I enjoyed reading his take on the Syrian situation this morning. I believe Sullivan is right to ask for/demand foolproof evidence that Assad is 100% to blame for the most recent, and very deadly, chemical attack. And Sullivan brings up a point, one I’ve been thinking about as well, what happens if the US Congress does not agree with Obama on a Syria strike? For now, it absolutely looks like they will. I find this incredibly disappointing. However, Obama should be praised for going to Congress at all and he should be doubly praised if they go against his expressed desire and he concedes to them.

Second, this Q and A with Ian Black, the Guardian’s Middle East editor, is really helpful for understanding some basics about the Syrian Civil War, knowing possible scenarios in the aftermath of a US strike, and whether or not rebel groups in Syria have used sarin gas.

Third, the news from TPM about Boehner supporting a strike (of some sorts) on Syria (with accompanying creepy-smile Obama). This does not bode well for the ABC poll released today that says 60% of Americans are opposed to a US-only strike on Syria. With Boehner on Obama’s side, it is nearly certain that there will not be a strong-enough contingent of men and women within Congress who can build a majority to go against Obama’s intentions.

And lastly, I am reminded of the January 2013 discovery of 79 bodies in a river in Aleppo. Though, not even a tenth of the number allegedly killed in the chemical weapons attack in Syria, this was still a gruesome attack, which exhibited ruthless killing of men and boys. These 79 deaths were just a small portion of all deaths (over 100,000) in the Syrian Civil War before the much-publicized chemical attack, though not one of these 100,000 deaths provoked any seriously considered American military action against Syria. The 100,000 deaths by traditional weapons were not enough to get the US into this mess, but a thousand deaths from a chemical attack might be.

It is a convoluted world we live in that requires world powers to do something about the Syrian Civil War now, just because Assad allegedly decided to use a weapon, which kills more people and does so without consideration of sex, age, and affiliation. I am not in favor of the offensive options on Obama’s table right now. And it all seems like a rush to judgment by American politicians who, despite having no 100%-concrete evidence that it was Assad who ordered this strike, are hurtling toward another conflict in the Middle East.

If I had to select one reason why I worked for and voted for Obama in 2008, and again in 2012, it would be this: I felt like Obama would take a step back from the Bush administration’s tendency to shoot first and plan later. If Obama moves forward now, with or without congressional approval, he betrays the promise of his 2008 and 2012 campaigns, which both strongly featured tough talk about ending war/s, bringing the troops home, and focusing on what is broken and hurting in this country first, instead of policing the world and making half-assed attempts at establishing democracies in the region of the world most inclined to reject them.

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David Miranda Detention

If you haven’t been following the recent developments from the UK regarding the ongoing Snowden saga, then here’s a primer. David Miranda, the boyfriend of Glenn Greenwald, the US-born writer for the UK’s Guardian newspaper, was held by UK authorities at London’s Heathrow airport two days ago.

Technically, this is legal in the UK under Schedule 7 of the Terrorism Act of 2000, which allows for an “examining officer” to, without warrant or suspicion, detain any individual in a “border area” (defined as airports, train stations, ports, etc) for up to nine hours. During this time, the officer can search the person, their vehicle, or “anything which he reasonably believes has been, or is about to be, in or on a vehicle.” The officer can ask any questions of the detained individual.

Schedule 7 is scheduled to be rewritten, as it has prompted some of the worst complaints from UK citizens because of its potential for abuse, but it hasn’t been rewritten yet. Although the law is designed to ease the collection of information regarding terrorists or the suspicion of terrorism-related activities, The Guardian feels like Miranda’s detention is in no way justifiable, writing:

…There is not the slightest suggestion that Mr Miranda is a terrorist. But Mr Miranda does live with and work with Mr Greenwald, who has broken most of the stories about US and UK state surveillance based on leaks from the NSA whistleblower Edward Snowden. None of that work involves committing, preparing or instigating acts of terrorism, or anything that could reasonably fall within even the most capacious definition of such activities. Yet anyone who imagines that Mr Miranda was detained at random at Heathrow is not living in the real world.

I agree with the Guardian here. Government intimidation of the media is not a new development in the UK. Today, the Guardian and Greenwald called the detention of Miranda a clear attempt at intimidation. Although I do not always see eye to eye with Greenwald’s take on other topics such as politics, international security, and foreign policy, I too would approach any government official with a deep suspicion if they told me that Miranda’s detention solely relates to terrorism-related activities. His involvement in a story about terrorism-related activities should not qualify him for any detention concerning terrorism or terrorists. Miranda’s detention sets a dangerous precedent, which suggests that the press is not entirely free to write about a government’s counterterrorism measures without putting them [the media] at risk of government intimidation, even if their work as journalists does not put at risk an ongoing counterterrorism operation.

This story is certainly not over. I will likely post again after more details have come to light.

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Israel Approves Settlement Construction

Since I just watched and reviewed 5 Broken Cameras the week before I left on vacation, I thought the latest development in the Israel-Palestine peace talks was timely. From the Los Angeles Times:

Capping one of the busiest periods in settlement approval in years, Israel gave final planning permission to build about 900 more units of housing on land it seized in 1967, brushing aside U.S. and Palestinian objections ahead of peace talks scheduled to resume in Jerusalem on Wednesday.

This most recent settlement approval has frustrated Palestinian leaders who see this as a huge roadblock to any successful negotiations in the coming days. On the same day Israel approved these settlements, they released 26 Palestinian prisoners. But to call the prisoner release a coup for Palestine is to overlook the huge setback the settlements pose to successful peace talks. The anger and frustration on display in 5 Broken Cameras is once again at the surface as Israel continues settlement expansion. Furthermore, this most recent expansion preceding peace talks is seen by some as an Israeli effort to set the talks up for failure:

…the left-leaning Haaretz daily blasted what it called a “targeted assassination” of the talks and urged the government to overcome the urge to aggressively expand settlements whenever peace talks come around.

I tend to agree, that to the extent Israel keeps allowing settlements on post-1967 land, peace will continue to be a spontaneous visitor in the Holy Land.

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Vacation

Thanks for stopping by. I’ll be on vacation and not posting until Monday, August 12th. Have a great week.

Film: 5 Broken Cameras

I will, from time to time, review or comment about movies with a decidedly international perspective or movies that play a key role in understanding new or ancient conflicts throughout the world. Since 5 Broken Cameras was released in November 2011 and was nominated for Best Documentary in the 2012 Academy Award Nominations, I am, undoubtedly, late to the party. But, as long at the Palestine/Israel conflict remains unsolved, 5 Broken Cameras will continue to be an amazing source of the kinds of details–those about Palestinians in the West Bank losing their land to Israeli settlers–that are simply not reported in mainstream western media.

The movie owes its title to the five broken cameras of Emad Burnat, the cameraman and narrator of the movie, who is a resident of Bil’in, a small town, which is drastically affected by the Israeli West Bank Barrier. The movie covers a period of more than five years, from when Burnat’s youngest son was born in 2005, to 2011. In the beginning of the movie, Burnat beautifully introduces you to his family, several of his neighbors, and friends. His voice transfixing you, gently drawing you in to his side of this ugly conflict.

Over the years, we see Burnat’s son lose his innocence much sooner than Western children. From an early age, his son is exposed to seeing friends being arrested for peaceful protesting, he is in crowds dispersed by tear gas, and he sees people shot. All by the age of five.

The movie also follows the arc of several key protesters, all of them incredibly peaceful. Some lose hope that Bil’in residents will ever get back their lost land. Others remain hopeful that Israel will withdraw and even take down the West Bank Barrier. Burnat is one of those Palestinians who is less hopeful, but he keeps on recording everything, from protests, to walks with his sons, to arguments with his wife about, coincidently, recording everything. Twice, his cameras are shot while he is recording, one time he is straight-on filming the Israeli soldier who shoots his camera. Another time a camera is knocked out of his hands by an Israeli settler.

Except for one scene in the movie, all protests Burnat caught on tape are peaceful. The one exception is a scene of a protester yelling at the soldiers to turn peacefully away and they will walk away too. But in the background of this one protester, you can see other protesters and a few of them take the opportunity to throw rocks at the Israeli troops. The Israelis were waiting for this moment. As soon as a rock hits them they charge the protestors, blanketing them in tear gas and arresting a handful.

Another scene shows a protester who is being held by Israeli troops by the side of a car. Unprovoked and without any legitimate reason whatsoever, one Israeli grabs the Palestinian man and holds him still so another Israeli soldier can shoot him in the leg. The most climactic event Burnat recorded is the death of a protester and friend. At the time of his death, this protester was not throwing anything at the troops. He was unarmed and merely yelling at Israeli soldiers that a girl had been shot. With a pop, we see him go down and I seemed to be able to hear air escaping from his chest. He is dead instantly, or at the very most, lives a few minutes, but by the time Burnat reaches him, he is not moving.

Obviously, not all Palestinians are violent protesters, but the Israeli soldiers featured in this film do not make an effort to distinguish between a threat and a non-threat. Without reason they arrest men, even little boys, and, at one point, Burnat himself. Burnat is held in house arrest for a month or two and is released when Israel drops his case and says, “They lost the evidence against him.” Right.

5 Broken Cameras is an eye-opening film, one I wish every westerner could watch. I have been to Israel. I have seen the West Bank Barrier. It was 2006 and I took a picture of it with my awesome two megapixel camera. Back then, I didn’t know a lot about it, and, even though I know more now, I will never be an expert. But this film is so honest, deeply moving, and informative that I have a much better visual of the encroaching Israeli settlements and the enormous obstacle they pose to a peaceful way forward for Israel and Palestine.

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